This is not news. Let’s be clear about that. While Michael Pachter is a very clever industry analyst who has, at times, given great advice to investors, he also clearly revels in his role as fanboy fire-starter.
So while his latest predictions – made at this year’s South by South West event in Austin – are an interesting talking point, they are by no means “news” in the sense that half of what Pachter says these days seems solely aimed at raising his profile among those of us who like to point and laugh. But we do enjoy discussing his bold, attention-grabbing assertions and we thought you’d like the chance to have your say too.
With that rather obvious disclaimer out of the way, let’s get to the pointing and the laughing.
This slide was from Michael's presentation as SXSW.
Although Pachter thinks Microsoft will win the next gen, he sees Sony – who’s home console actually seems to have globally outsold Microsoft’s this generation as being primed to “thrive” although they’ll still be playing “catch up” to someone. Nintendo, presumably.
On Nintendo, he thinks they’ll have strong software sales but that their hardware sales “will be challenged.” Which is basically just stating what has happened in the months since the Wii U’s launch. He also thinks their handhelds will lose share to smartphones and tablets. Welcome to 2010, Mikey.
Pulling some good news out of his ars… hat, Pachter thinks we’ve seen the last publisher bankruptcy for a while. He does give himself a bit of wiggle room with that claim though – predicting the possibility of some “consolidation.”
Finally, it’s good news for the millions of you who have been enjoying some of those high-selling PC games over the past few years – “the PC as gaming device will make a comeback,” apparently. Nobody tell Blizzard.
Image Source: StickSkills