Those crystal ball gazers have been at it again and this time it’s Lazard Capital Markets analyst Colin Sebastian who’s been going all Mystic Meg on us. According to IndustryGamers he forecasts strong sales for PS3 but the Xbox and Wii will decline.
“For the year, we are currently modeling a 10% increase in PS3 unit sales, Xbox 360 unit sales down 5%, and a 20% decline in Nintendo Wii unit sales. There is upside potential to our estimates with further hardware price reductions. At this point, we expect the console-installed base to increase by roughly 25% to 70 million units, and above the 57 million console units installed of the last generation platforms at the end of 2005.”
It must be noted that even with a 20% drop in sales the Wii is still going to be selling bucketloads and may still outsell every other playform.
Gamoc | 07/01/2010 14:33
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Damn analysts.
Dexter17 | 07/01/2010 14:42
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Don’t you just hate them?
Gamoc | 07/01/2010 14:52
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Yeah, I really, really do. ¬¬
BrendanCalls | 07/01/2010 14:54
Post Hoc, Ergo Propter Hoc - YOHIMBÉ!!!
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I am an analyst, but not a Games Analyst, I am a Data Analyst for an Electronics Company – Analysts are cool and anyone who disagrees is a weiner
Dexter17 | 07/01/2010 15:01
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Ewww, look at you, Mr Brendan!
teflon | 07/01/2010 15:29
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If I were a no nonsense action hero, its right about now where I’d say “Analyse THIS!” and punch you in your analytical super villain face.
Of course, Im not, so I’ll just say that analysts are basically educated guessers. I mean, it’s silly stuff like “Apple’s going to sell 21 million iPhones this coming year” and all that nonsense. Just needless guess work based on current trends, which almost anyone could do bar the whole need to put a number on things.
Apple’s on the up and up, the Wii couldn’t sustain its ridiculous sales, the PS3 has a slight edge over the 360. 3D isn’t going to sell half as much as it’s getting talked about, Iron Man 2 will be awesome, Gran Turismo 5 is not going to live up to its hype and sell less than Forza 3.
teflon | 07/01/2010 15:31
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Sorry, just to clarify, nothing against analysts in general, or you in particular, Brendan. I just don’t really care what they think is going to happen. I can figure it out for myself.
As for punching you in the face, I just wanted to say “Analyse THIS!” is all…
bunimomike | 07/01/2010 14:37
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Just out of interest, when does MS expect to cancel out the investment costs of the 360? Most of us are aware of the $5billion hole that Sony need to plug (with regards to the PS3). Are MS on track? What’s the timeline, etc.
BrendanCalls | 07/01/2010 14:48
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$5billion, I hope you mean in Monopoly money,
Is it seriously $5billion as in 1,2,3,4,5 Thousand Million dollars.
Thats just a sick amount of money, who has that type of money just to spend on a games console, you could never make that kind of money back, surely?
morbo1993 | 07/01/2010 15:19
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well with ps3s costing on average 5-600$ (taking in account places like Norway where the ps3 started out at 1000$ and has now ended up on 500$) and just taking a number like 2000000 consoles sould you have about 1100000000… now ofcourse that is not what they get for it in the end, that is just what has been spent buying it… so include controller and games sales and you could very well make that kind of money back
bunimomike | 07/01/2010 19:38
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Hello mate. cc_star and I were talking about it recently in an article. I think the investment (to currently try and address) is $4.8billion or so ($4,800,000,000). Utterly shocking but thinking about it, at the end of the entire life of the Xbox (not the 360) MS lost $4.1billion as they knew it was all about getting into the industry for the long term. I just hope Sony make all of it back and a bit on top (profit seems such a rare word for them these days). It’d break hearts to think the PS3 was a financial flop at the end of it all. Sure, it might come close but after ten years, if we look forward, it really might not break-even.
a inferior race | 07/01/2010 15:10
I'm special
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I know that Microsofts gaming division (which includes games for windows and probably isn’t called gaming division at all) first started turning a profit in 2008 but I don’t know if the xbox has recouped its r&d costs.
Agony is my name | 07/01/2010 14:48
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They’ve ben saying this since day one, and now the power of the playstation 3 will be realised
Yung Jones | 07/01/2010 15:06
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Lol, you sound like a SCEE advert.
Dexter17 | 07/01/2010 15:09
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He is a SCEE advert.
Amphlett | 08/01/2010 11:56
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SCEE adverts are never that clearly stated and focussed!
3shirts | 07/01/2010 14:53
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Hehe, I love that ball gazer gag
Gamoc | 07/01/2010 14:56
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Well, they’re definitely staring at balls all the time.
iAvernus | 07/01/2010 21:15
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LOL! Nice
Amphlett | 08/01/2010 11:57
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It’s a wonder they didn’t predict some ‘hairy moments’.
cam the man | 07/01/2010 15:28
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I think it’s a bit obvious that the PS3 will sell more, there was a price cut not long ago and, as they said, there will be in the future.
bajere | 07/01/2010 17:13
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agreed. im not surprised that PS3 sales are going up and they will continue… All the exclusives, the bluray player, the downloads/free online gaming etc and the fact the Sony are being dangerous and doing something odd for the PS3 called ADVERTISING, along with price drop…its a no brainer that they will and have been selling units.
Amphlett | 08/01/2010 11:59
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Yeah, I saw an ad on the telly the other day, tucked in between all the ‘…available on Xbox360′ ads.
carlosfilippsen | 07/01/2010 18:17
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We all predict great things for the PS3 in 2010…
Flash | 07/01/2010 20:27
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I predict that Sony will crush all competitors and rise above all, before getting such a huge ego, that all their heads fly into space.
To be honest, I just closed my eyes and wrote then… lol
iAvernus | 07/01/2010 21:20
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I hope SONY’s figures rise. I mean nothing against the other consoles, but for me the PS3 represents quality, and quality should be rewarded. Anyone else think that the reason why the 360 is selling more is because of the ”ring of death” phenom??!!!! I DO! lol! I have my PS3 for 3 years now, and not a single problem, hence no need for me to buy another unit…or 2. (knock on wood)
Rad4Life | 07/01/2010 22:44
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As a Sony guy, I don’t even consider the Wii competition. 360 decline. Duh.
GreenMekon | 08/01/2010 08:43
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I hope the PS3 does really well this year as I have one and it means more people will make more games for the PS3.
MUKARKAR | 09/01/2010 23:31
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ps3 is back you bitches, to all haters.
bunimomike | 10/01/2010 01:44
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Might I suggest a Russian Brides site for all your “bitches” requirements?
seedaripper1973 | 10/01/2010 01:48
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I hope you’re not suggesting Russian brides as being ‘bitches’?
bunimomike | 10/01/2010 01:50
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Fair comment. Irrespective of nationality… they’re all bitches!
seedaripper1973 | 10/01/2010 10:18
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Now you’re forcing me to concor…bastard